Italy’s parliamentary elections could give the country its first female prime minister, as head of the most right-wing government since World War II.
While the nationalist Italian Brotherhood (FdI), led by Giorgia Meloni, received just 4% of the vote in 2018, the party won about 25% of the vote on Sunday, an alliance of conservative partners. to a clear parliamentary majority.
“In Italy, we have the idea that we’ve tried everyone else, so let’s try her now,” said Wolfango Piccoli, co-president of political risk consulting firm Teneo.
If fussy Meloni succeeds, she faces a daunting array of challenges, including escalating energy costs, suffocating debt, a possible recession and an increasingly dangerous conflict in Ukraine.
The 45-year-old from Rome, who has promised to crack down on immigration and cut taxes, also has a big responsibility to bear.
Outgoing Prime Minister Mario Draghi, the widely respected former European Central Bank president, was seen as an encouraging figure by international investors, but resigned in July after an uprising within the unity government.
Unlike all other major party leaders, Meloni refused to join Draghi’s coalition and saw her popularity skyrocket from the opposition’s bench.
“Meloni is a great communicator, but she faces major financial constraints and doesn’t have much experience, so she probably won’t be able to enjoy a long honeymoon.
Meloni’s majority is much smaller or just slightly short than analysts predicted when the poll blackout took place on Sept. 9, the kind of political instability that regularly ravages Italy. It can also pave the way for stability.
Ten days ago, the right-wing bloc, which includes Matteo Salvini’s Ligue 1 and Silvio Berlusconi’s Forza Italia party, was thought to have won around 45% of the vote.
But since then, there has been speculation that the Salvini alliance, which has come under constant attack for its historically close ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin, has waned and the left-leaning Five Star Movement is on the rise. Widespread.
Adding to the uncertainty, voters will elect a streamlined Congress, where the number of seats in the House will be reduced from 630 to 400 and the Senate will increase from 315 to 200 seats. This complicates the task of predicting outcomes.
“One of the effects of the decline in Senate seats is that it takes relatively little percentage-wise to go from a majority to a significantly reduced majority,” says Lorenzo Pregliasco, head of YouTrend polls. said Mr.
The right-wing camp is rolling out old promises of cutting taxes, lowering the pensionable age and preventing immigrants from arriving in Italy by boat from North Africa, and Meloni has argued to prevent asylum-seekers from going to sea. He is proposing a naval blockade.
Opponents say such a move is illegal and impracticable.
The five-star government has vowed to protect welfare benefits for the poor. This message resonates in the less affluent South.
The leading center-left Democrats have repeatedly warned that electing Meloni would be risky due to the FdI’s neo-fascist origins and ties to Hungarian nationalist leader Viktor Orban.
Meloni downplays her own far-right past, saying her group is a mainstream force akin to Britain’s Conservative Party and firmly backs Ukraine in its war with Russia.
However, over the course of the campaign, she has been careful not to alienate core supporters associated with the far right.
Italian polls launch right-wing government
Source link Italian polls launch right-wing government