Putin’s nuclear threat is alarming, but let’s not rack our brains

The Washington-based War Research Institute finds its analysis of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict invaluable, claim the move “We will not produce any significant usable Russian combat power for several months.”

“Russian reserve forces are poorly trained from the start and are not retrained after their conscription period,” the institute notes. “Compulsory military service in Russia lasts only one year, leaving little time for conscripts to learn how to become soldiers in the first place.”

This means that partial mobilization “does not deprive Ukraine of the opportunity to liberate more of its occupied territories during the winter, and during the winter.”

When it comes to Putin’s use of the n-word, this isn’t the first time he’s flaunted Russia’s vast nuclear arsenal. “Putin’s speech should not be read as an overt threat that Russia will use nuclear weapons against Ukraine if Ukraine continues to fight back against the occupied territories after its annexation.”

There are many obvious and logical reasons why Putin should do so. No Deploying nuclear weapons in conflict: the fact that nuclear weapons will not make a decisive difference in war, the high likelihood of retaliation from other nuclear powers, and losing his support from major players such as China and India. possibility.

The past week has made it clear that even before the latest escalation, China and India are deeply concerned about war.

Last week, Putin admitted that Chinese President Xi Jinping had “questions” and “concerns” about the conflict. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who has specifically avoided criticizing Putin this week, told Russian leaders the “era of war” is over.


But Dibb, now an honorary fellow at the Australian National University, cautions against predicting Putin’s future actions on the basis of rational calculations. I do not intend to deny that

The war in Ukraine has lasted much longer than expected when it began. Now Putin is desperate and resolutely redoubled, challenging Ukraine and its Western allies not to flinch and not to lose their resolve.

Cut through the noise of federal politics with news, opinion and expert analysis by Jacqueline Maley. Subscribers can sign up for the weekly Inside Politics newsletter here..

Putin’s nuclear threat is alarming, but let’s not rack our brains

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